US Open Tennis 2016 Betting Analysis –Are Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic vulnerable at 2016 US Open?
We head to Flushing Meadow for the final tennis Grand Slam of the year, with the men’s singles being priced up like a two-horse race.
Novak Djokovic claimed the Australian Open and French Open titles this year before the wheels fell off at Wimbledon, while Andy Murray won at SW19 after finishing runner-up to the Serbian in the previous two tournaments.
Therefore, it would seem logical to assume the pair would work their way through the draw in New York and wind up contesting yet another Grand Slam final although there are reasons to suggest things won’t be that simple.
In the first place, sport is never that straightforward. There have been four different winners of the men’s singles tournament in the past four years, with Djokovic claiming his second US Open crown after previous victories for Marin Cilic, Rafael Nadal and Murray.
The US Open comes towards the end of the tennis season, with several participants having been in Rio for the Olympics and Murray in particular played a spate of tennis on his way to securing another gold medal.
The Brit is 2/1 to claim a second title at Flushing Meadow and many think that his form since Wimbledon illustrates that he is ready to take his chance in America although fatigue could yet play a part.
Murray has played an awful lot of tennis this year and his defeat to Cilic in the Cincinnati Masters final ended a 22-match winning streak and also hinted that the world number two might not last the pace over the US Open fortnight.
Indeed, Cilic could be a big threat at Flushing Meadow, with the Croatian having prospered on the hard courts of New York in 2014 and his big-serving game looks perfect for another victory.
Roger Federer will be an absentee at the US Open as he continues to recover from a knee injury and the Swiss legend of the game believes that Novak Djokovic remains the player to beat for this forthcoming tournament.
Speaking recently, Federer said: ‘It hasn’t really changed my opinion that Novak is the favourite, despite a few tough losses. He did win (the Canadian Open) in Toronto. He has a great record against Andy and is a great hard court player, you see that in the conditions like here and at the Australian Open.
‘I think the dome (the new roof over Arthur Ashe Stadium) will help him as well, as it will be more like Australia. Of course Andy is a great player in the wind, but then so is Novak.
‘But I have been very impressed by Andy, what he has done this summer has been incredible. I hope he can keep that going. I think it will be a very exciting US Open and probably a great race between them until the end of the season.’
Djokovic is trading at odds-on with some bookmakers, despite that loss to Sam Querrey at Wimbledon and an early defeat to Juan Martin del Potro in the Olympic Games, with the Serbian seemingly suffering a dip in form for the first time in years.
The world number one pulled out of the Cincinnati Masters, with any dream of a Golden Slam having disappeared and the sudden realisation that Djokovic is a beatable opponent.
“I am very sad to announce that I won’t be able to play this year in Cincinnati,” he said.
“I have a recurring injury that has taken its toll on my body due to a very busy and active schedule this year.
“I have played many matches and I have to take some rest in order to heal.”
It is though that Djokovic might be nursing a wrist injury although there is nothing clear on that front from watching him play in recent tournaments and there surely has to be a question mark over the Serbian leading up to the US Open.
We can still get 11/10 about a Djokovic victory and some expected his odds to be 4/6 by the time this tournament came around, although Wimbledon has seemingly changed everything and there will be plenty of live threats at the US Open.
Cilic has switched from Goran Ivanisevic to Jonas Bjorkman ahead of the tournament and it’s a surprise that the Croatian remains at 25/1 considering his victory in Cinci illustrates he’s bang on the money for this event.
“I spoke with Jonas, and he was really, really excited to work with me,” Cilic told reporters. “Even the idea, in the background of it, was for me to try to find somebody who could help me with my transition from the baseline to the net.
“I felt that he might be really the person that could help me the most with that, as he was great in singles and also great in doubles, and obviously knows the game,” said Cilic. “He’s been working with Andy as well, so that’s obviously another part that is a big plus.”